Why is Lionel Messi the GOAT?

The Michael Jordan/LeBron James GOAT debate will rage until the end of time, and it’s unlikely there will ever be a consensus. Regardless of what side you stand on, can you imagine if they were able to face off against each other in their primes for 20 years? That would be bananas! Except, that very same hypothetical has actually been happening in soccer as Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo have been exchanging blows for two decades in a race for the GOAT throne. It has been the greatest head-to-head GOAT battle in modern history, and it’s not over! Both are still dominating domestic leagues, and are primed for their final acts on the grandest stage at the 2026 World Cup in North America. 

Whether you prefer Messi’s surgical free kicks or Ronaldo’s aerial superiority, there is something for everyone in this heavyweight battle. Determining the winner of this GOAT standoff is an exercise in nuance, because with all due respect to Pele, there is nobody even close in the history of soccer who can match these two juggernauts when it comes to the combination of peak production, strength of competition, health, and longevity. As a bonus, Messi and Ronaldo are polar opposites when it comes to how they dominate games. Messi is a diminutive open field magician who keeps the ball on his foot like a yo-yo as he weaves past defenders. He is a master at creating space and then using it to both lace precision shots on goal and find open teammates for scoring opportunities. His free kick accuracy is legendary, stressing goalies from post to post and corner to corner. Ronaldo, for his part, is a statuesque figure who uses his size and uncanny vertical athleticism to control the box. He has tormented goaltenders on corners and crosses for two decades. He is also a relentless assassin who unleashes howitzers on net from anywhere and everywhere in the offensive zone.  

Soccer is often described as an artform in a way that football or baseball is not. Tom Brady and Peyton Manning are compared and contrasted based on their statistics, not the mechanics of their respective throwing motions. Soccer, though, seems to leave room for an artistry score when deciding the value of a particular player. In that regard, Messi and Ronaldo are as different in style and equal in talent as Pablo Picasso and Vincent van Gogh. If this is art, then there is no wrong answer–there are just two majestically gifted virtuosos to admire. However, in the spirit of athletic competition, the GOAT conversation requires a winner or, at the very least, a statistically worthier option. With the clock ticking on their time left on the pitch, it’s Messi who has the edge in the most spectacular GOAT battle in history.

Considering Messi and Ronaldo dominate soccer in very, very different ways, it’s quite likely that the winner would theoretically be dependent, in large part, on the makeup of the rest of the team. That caveat aside, the statistics show that Messi has an advantage in just about every comparison. He has a decisive lead in Ballon d’Or trophies (8-5) and domestic league championships (12-7). He won the World Cup and nearly won a second. Messi even has the best high-end seasons, owning single-season Big 5 domestic league superiority over Ronaldo in both goals (50) and goal contributions (66). Messi also holds the advantage over Ronaldo in career goals per match and goal contributions per match. Additionally, Ronaldo has scored a disproportionate number of his goals (119) on penalty kicks (PKs), which require far less skill than goals scored in play. Messi already has an advantage in goals and goal rate without considering the fact that he only took and scored roughly half as many PKs as Ronaldo. This makes Messi’s statistical advantage even more pronounced.    

If there was a draft of all the soccer players in the history of the sport, the team with the second pick would not lose any sleep over who the team with the first pick selected. Messi and Ronaldo are fully capable of leading a team to championship glory. It’s more likely than not that Messi and Ronaldo are equally talented and equally important to winning. Choosing one simply means diminishing the other, which is an unfortunate byproduct of creating a list like this. At the risk of diminishing Ronaldo, it’s Messi who gets the crown.

 

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Hi (hopefully) awesome reader! I welcome your comments. However, please be aware that I make all of my arguments using facts, statistics, and logic. Unfortunately, the average comment on a top-100 list goes something like this:

"UR StooPid. (Insert player) is trash. I've watched (pick a sport) for (pick a number of years) and (pick a player) is better than everyone. UR DUMB. HAHA6969."

–Some Jabroni

As cognitively stimulating as this species of comment is, it ends up being a missed opportunity to share a nuanced perspective. I reply to all comments that show even the most basic levels of thought and humility. The people who make the comments like the example above are under the assumption that the three seconds of thought that popped into their brains after reading the list is more than the 1000s of hours that I put into creating and maintaining the lists. I would be happy to defend any placement, or make an adjustment if one is warranted. If you are a jabroni, like the one above, then your comment will die in the lonely void of the unpublished comments section.

For everyone else, I look forward to your comments!

P.S. A theme of this site and the top-100 lists is that athletes from previous generations have historically been grossly overrated by sports publications in a way that is statistically improbable. Click on the "About" dropdown menu to see just how badly the average top-100 list disproportionately favors athletes from older generations when leagues were smaller, race quotas existed, and globalization wasn't a thing. Also, please consider reading "The History" section of the sport you are commenting on.

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